How the 2021 NBA Playoff Standings Shaped the Championship Race

2025-11-19 17:02

Looking back at the 2021 NBA playoffs, I can't help but marvel at how the standings didn't just predict the championship outcome—they actively shaped the entire narrative of that postseason. As someone who's followed the league for over fifteen years, I've rarely seen a playoff bracket so perfectly set up for dramatic storytelling. The way teams landed in those final positions created a domino effect that ultimately crowned the Milwaukee Bucks champions, but the journey there was anything but straightforward.

I remember watching the Western Conference standings solidify and thinking how brutal that path would be for any team hoping to emerge. The Utah Jazz clinched that number one seed with a 52-20 record, which honestly surprised me given how they'd historically underperformed in playoffs past. Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns sitting at second with 51 wins felt like a team of destiny after their bubble performance the previous year. What made the West particularly fascinating was the play-in tournament's debut, which gave us that thrilling Warriors-Grizzlies matchup that ultimately sent Memphis through. That single game changed everything—had Golden State advanced, I'm convinced the entire Western Conference trajectory would have shifted dramatically.

The Eastern Conference presented what I'd call a "trap bracket." The Philadelphia 76ers earned the top seed with 49 wins in what was arguably the weakest conference in recent memory, while the Brooklyn Nets—despite being the betting favorites—landed at second. That Nets positioning proved crucial because it meant they'd likely face Milwaukee earlier than anyone anticipated. I still maintain that if the standings had flipped and Philly faced Milwaukee in the second round instead, we might be talking about a very different champion today. The way the bracket unfolded forced Brooklyn and Milwaukee into that brutal seven-game series in the second round that essentially felt like the conference finals a round early.

What struck me most about that postseason was how health and rest became determining factors in ways we hadn't seen before. Watching the playoffs unfold reminded me of something I'd recently read about international basketball—Cone mentioned they will also be careful with Brownlee not just for Gilas Pilipinas' two games in the FIBA Asia Cup qualifiers, but also beyond. That philosophy of managing player health for the long game resonated deeply as I watched the 2021 playoffs. The teams that understood this—like Milwaukee carefully managing Giannis' minutes during the regular season despite the standings implications—were ultimately rewarded. Meanwhile, the Nets' health issues, particularly with James Harden's hamstring, demonstrated what happens when you push too hard for regular season positioning at the expense of playoff readiness.

The championship race fundamentally shifted during that Bucks-Nets series, which featured what I consider the most impactful injury of the playoffs: Kyrie Irving's ankle sprain in Game 4. With Irving out and Harden limited, the Bucks clawed back from a 2-0 deficit to win in seven. That series alone burned out the championship favorite and left Milwaukee facing a relatively easier path through Atlanta before meeting Phoenix in the finals. The Hawks' unexpected run to the Eastern Conference Finals—fueled by Trae Young's emergence—was directly enabled by the Knicks landing as the fourth seed rather than a more experienced Miami or Boston team. Sometimes the standings create these Cinderella stories through pure bracket luck.

In the Finals, we saw how the Western Conference's brutal path left Phoenix more battered than their record suggested. The Suns had to get through the defending champion Lakers, the MVP-led Nuggets, and the surprisingly resilient Clippers—all series that went six games except the Denver sweep. Meanwhile, Milwaukee had that relatively straightforward Atlanta series after the Brooklyn war. The fatigue differential showed in those final games, particularly when Giannis dropped 50 points in the closeout Game 6. The standings had created this perfect storm where the best team didn't necessarily emerge from the toughest path, but from the most sustainable one.

Reflecting on it now, the 2021 championship tells us something important about modern NBA success: seeding matters, but pathway matters more. The Bucks' championship wasn't just about having Giannis at his peak—it was about catching Brooklyn at the right time, benefiting from the East's relative weakness, and having a roster deep enough to survive when the bracket broke their way. Meanwhile, teams like the Jazz—who dominated the regular season—proved that regular season success doesn't always translate when the matchups don't favor you. Their second-round exit to the Clippers after blowing a 2-0 lead demonstrated how the standings can create terrible matchup scenarios even for excellent teams.

The legacy of those 2021 playoff standings continues to influence how teams approach the regular season today. We're seeing more strategic resting, more attention to potential playoff matchups, and less obsession with the number one seed unless it comes with significant matchup advantages. As someone who analyzes this league professionally, I've adjusted my own evaluation framework to prioritize playoff pathway projections over raw seeding. Because what the 2021 season taught us is that championships aren't always won by the best team—sometimes they're won by the team that navigates the landscape created by those final standings most effectively. The Bucks understood this, managed their season accordingly, and have a banner hanging in Fiserv Forum because of it.

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